Re: 72s
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BTW, what's your plan if you get called on the turn bet? I think you have to follow through and bet any river that is not a heart.
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I disagree. If they're calling the turn they're just as likely to call the river with almost any 2-cards. The only way I'm betting the river is if I hit my straight.
And this may be the best point as to why I need to check/fold the turn - I can't really legitimately follow up my turn bluff with a river bet.
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I would think if your opponent called, there's a really good chance he has a FD, and he would fold to a blank river.
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No offense to you Vincent but you (and others) seem to keep making this point. I want to know what you're basing your information on.
Why do you think (and what data do you have to support your theory) that MP3 isn't betting his BD flush draw on the flop when it's checked to him? Likewise, why do you think that SB wouldn't lead the turn with a decent [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] after the flop got checked through?
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None. The same way we don't have any info supporting the counter either.
Here's my point. If you bet and are called it is at least equally likely that the opponent holds a heart as he holds something stronger that he will call a river bet with (though I think a call indicates more weakness than strength, but that's irelevant.) With 3.5BB in the pot, you're bluff on the river only has to be successful 1/4.5 times or 22% to be break-even. I think you're getting Villain to fold on river way more than this.
That was my point. No data. No info. No PokerTracker. just plain math.
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