Two Plus Two Older Archives - View Single Post - Finally figured out AK in early rounds....

durron597 · #23 07-13-2005, 02:39 PM

[ QUOTE ]
This play is definitely -EV in the long run.

It's a coin flip against a pocket pair, and you are only a 65-35 favorite against any two cards heads up.

Main deal here is the blind levels. In HOH2, Harrington had a good example I believe which was in the structured hand analysis section. QQ is -Ev in the long run in the first set of blind levels as well.

You simply stand to lose more than you stand to gain.

[/ QUOTE ]

Are you joking?!??

Ok first of all, you aren't getting called by 76s here. The hands that call you, you are either a slight dog or a big favorite except MAYBE QJ, and of course AA and KK which are unlikely given your hand.

Even if QQ is slightly -EV (it isn't, because of the pot overlay), the times you get called by AQ, KQ, etc. more than make up for it.

I know this hand isn't exact but it's the closest I could find on short notice.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t50 (8 handed) converter

MP1 (t3750)
Hero (t1260)
CO (t40)
Button (t2120)
SB (t1560)
BB (t1160)
UTG (t2910)
UTG+1 (t700)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
UTG calls t50, UTG+1 calls t50, 1 fold, Hero raises to t250, CO calls t40 (All-In), 3 folds, UTG calls t200, UTG+1 raises to t700, Hero raises to t1260, UTG folds.

Flop: (t2325) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 players, 1 all-in)

Turn: (t2325) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 players, 1 all-in)

River: (t2325) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 players, 1 all-in)

Final Pot: t2325

Results in white below: 
UTG+1 has Td Kd (one pair, twos).
Hero has Kh Ac (one pair, twos).
CO has Qh Tc (one pair, twos).
Outcome: Hero wins t2325.