Re: JJ with flop K-K-3 with 2 diamonds.
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if he smooth called preflop with QQ or AA, is he really comfortable blindly going all in in first position with 2 kings out there? This seems more like an A-Q of diamonds or pp anywhere from 8's to 10's, no?
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Yeah, it's hard to put him on a king unless he's a savvy player and knows that you're a thinking player as well. It's actually a great overbet with AK since it puts pairs to the test and gets an autocall from AA 99% of the time.
Nonetheless, look at the structure of this tourney. T2000 stacks with 15/30 blinds - you have to think long and hard about stacking off with JJ versus an UTG raiser this early and button still to act. I will make this call in Party donkfests, but you're talking about a completely different structure; here I fold.
Is this some live tourney by the way?
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