Re: Quick thoughts, more later
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So UTG has a set or middle two pair and decided to try and CR the turn even through no one showed they liked that flop?
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If it were me (and I play only SLIGHTLY less than 38% of my hands), I'd check the turn not to checkraise (although I would if the opportunity presented itself) but to allow all the drawing dead AK, AQ, AJ, etc catch up.
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I have a hard time putting UTG on a hand to be honest, but I don't think it really matters because you are ahead of the other two guys enough here given their passiveness throughout the hand.
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Sure, I definitely have the other two beat. I was going to checkraise the river if one of those bet. We agree on that.
What we DISagree on is the merits of being second best. Saying what UTG has doesn't matter because I can beat the other two is silly.
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Plus, given the utg's check on the turn I think you have an easy call in a large pot with TPTK.
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Yep, if he'll bluff the river over 10% of the time into a field of four. I don't think he will.
Josh
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