[Surfbullet]

Hey Trix,

I think we are ahead here quite often, perhaps 40%+? I'm not sure if he's the type of tricky lag to call down a mediocre pair every so often to keep your bets honest, so that could make it more or less likely.

I'd check the turn, and call most rivers, except a J, Q, and possibly a K. If he was LAGier preflop i'd definitely call a K, but it doesn't look like he'll be 3betting stuff like KJ from his stats.

Also, I think checking the turn is definitely better - inducing bluffs is more effective in small pots, because the cost of the free card is much much cheaper. When the pot gets to be 5-6Bb+ we have to be inducing a bluff a very high %-age of the time to make it worthwhile.

Surf