Re: jfk ass conpiracy probility? using bayes theorum (plus a poll)
ok say 95% oswald shooter. say 80% chance you think ruby would kill oswald for pretty much nothing.
so still 76% chance no conspiracy, but
24% chance of conspiracy.
on the other hand maybe yhou can just have oswald as killer as a given, (like getting AA twice), and just base it on 2nd probability.
still thats 20%.
i dont know.
|