Re: Lies, damn lies, and statistics
I posted because the post I replied to suggested that a "bad run" could be fixed by adjusting ones game.
This suggests that by playing better you can avoid all bad runs. This is not the case.
Most posters on this forum, when they say they are having a "bad run" they mean a bad run of cards, not just playing badly.
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So, when I hit a bad streak, I look at my game first and make sure that I am not slipping in one way or another
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You should be analysing your game all the time, not just when you are running badly.
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The problem I have with relying mainly on stats is that you might overlook your weakness, and blame it on the cards.
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Stats don't lie. If you misinterpret them then that is a problem.
Nobody pretends that (ROI, RoR and ITM%) stats tell you *why* you are losing/winning, only whether you are or not.
They also tell you how likely it is for something to occur. If you play 250+ SNGs a week then you are likely to see long losing streaks. Understanding the statistics gives you the confidence NOT to tinker with your game when there is nothing wrong with it.
It is just an important part of understanding the game of poker.
Tim
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