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Just curious, you're preparing for a finance seminar on credit default swaps, and you look for advice on a Poker forum? Do you think Poker players know everything? Or are credit default swap professionals unfriendly?

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although i'm preparing for a finance seminar, the question is more related to probability or analysis than finance. i wouldn't know who to ask for advice about analysis, and there are a lot of smart people who post here, many of whom have a good knowledge of probability.

also, since my goal is to not look like an idiot the first day of class, i was trying to avoid asking the professor, i don't know any others in the department who specialize in credit risk, and the one i knew who taught probability theory is away this semester.

in short, i had no obvious person to ask without going against the reason for asking, and i thought there was a pretty good chance that someone here might know the answer to my question, even if they didn't know anything about credit risk.