Re: 1 steal hand 1 BB hand
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but c/f the flop is giving up too much? i want to bet/fold and hope to get a fold from him?
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Check-folding does give up a little too much, I think. The pot is now 6 bets big, so you only need him to give up on a steal raise 15% of the time to be making profit.
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I was thinking about this a little more. Assuming villain is pretty normal for these stakes, he's not giving up on any hand that contains a spade. But even though there are 3 spades showing, he's still about 35-40% to have a spade in his hand. So unless you know villain is tight enough to worry about folding lower flush cards like T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], I wonder what the chances of you winning this hand with a flop bet are going to be.
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