[admiralfluff]

If MP2 was a massive calling station the river bet would be great. YOu can't tell that he is from looking at what he does in one hand. He could have a lot of different hands here. The value of this river bet is entirely opponent dependent. Without reads, you have to go by concentrations of different opponent types to know how likely it is that you're up against X type of player. If someone has a good system of doing that, please let me know. By feel I would say this river bet is marginally -EV, and would take the free card. I would be pleasantly surprised if anyone could make a convincing case either way though. If MP2 had raised preflop, the bet is certainly bad.