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Old 12-03-2005, 01:43 AM
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Default Re: Why Current Online Win Rates Won\'t Persist

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Correct, I think the good players from foreign countries will be more apt to play full time, as its advantageous vs their real world job. As more players enter, the tables will tighten and good players will be forced to play lower limits if they want to remain profitable, at which point it will not be favorable for many pros in the developed nations to play.

I would be fine playing US players only. I prefer to play with whichever players are most +EV for me. I see no moral issues. As such, i prefer to play with an average USA player over an average person from a third world country because the average USA player (per my assumptions) will have more disaposable income and tend to be less inteligent.

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Thanks for explaining. IMO, we're better off with a larger pool of players in general. Maybe you'd be happy if the poker sites provided a reliable geographic location of players, based on IP? Then you could choose tables with US based players...

I still think the full-time players will move up in limits as they improve. Most people want to make more money if they can. Plus the equilibrium of fish-sharks is not easy to predict. If the number of sharks increases, the relative number of fish drops, making the game less profitable for sharks, so some sharks will stop playing, which increases the ratio of fish... its a dynamic system, that doesn't necessarily have an equilibrium solution.

The restrictions you propose sound like a big gamble from EV perspective... What if they somehow stop Americans from accessing foreign poker sites (maybe with a china-style firewall?), and it turns out that the rest-of-the-world sites are more fishy than the US sites? US players will be pissed to be excluded... I guess the US casinos would be stoked though...
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