Re: More fun with variance - monte carlo results
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I'd be really interested to see the longest streaks a losing player can have a +ROI.
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Maybe start off with a player 10% 1st, 10% 2nd, 10% 3rd?
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I don't have a robust program for this, but I threw some numbers into an excel spreadsheet I have that does this sort of sim and after about 30 refreshes I got an "average" player to be a winner after 3318 SNGs (I never got anything else greater than 1600 in another 50 tries or so). Most of them were positive at some point in the 300-500 range.
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