[flyingmoose]

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It's slightly +cEV to do this, give or take. Even a real idiot won't *usually* call you with more than about top 35%, so, 2/3 of the time, you win 6000; 1/3 of the time, you have 38% equity in a 70K pot and lose about 8500 or so. (If he did call half the time, it'd be a fold.)

However, it's not +$EV, due to the microstack, the other short stack, the payout structure, and the fact that if you get called, even if you win you have no FE from people that don't get it. (No, the top heavy payout structure does not favor a push when you have a 62% chance to bust when called with a decent stack. This is also why pushing this from earlier would have been a big mistake and why you should probably never do this at a final table with a stack this exact size.)

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Thank god for you, Adanthar. I wanted to say this, but I don't feel like I have enough clout on the forum to be a dissenter.

The top-heavy payout structures of MTTs makes cEV much closer to $EV than they are in STTs, but that doesn't mean that marginal +cEV situations should always be pursued. Especially when somebody's getting anted out next hand.