[Tregan]

Hi amoeba, thanks for the response.

I just typed up a huge reply and then closed the window by accident! [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img] So here's the condensed version.

I have 0 fold equity if my read is correct; if he has trips, he is seeing a river no matter whether I bet or check. I also believe that due to his stack size he will be getting the rest of his stack in regardless of the river card.

Thus, my check behind saves me $110.40 when 4 of his 7 outs hit (A,666). If he pairs his kicker, he stacks me just like he would if I pushed the turn.

By checking behind, I will win the $323.80 pot around 94% of the time on the river, as opposed to 85%. My EV for the hand is then $304.37, as opposed to $275.23 when I push the turn.
Additionally, it allows straight and flush draws to catch up, and a weaker hand (99, 88, etc.) may try to bluff the river.

Thanks,
Tregan