Re: WTF do I do here?
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This might be incorrect, so don't quote me on this...
Given the calldown by villian and his "slight looseness", I'm assuming he's got a pocket pair and he's putting us on an "Ace Hand".
He might call us here with a worse hand(ie a pair) if he thinks we'd bluff this river with A-high. This make sense to anyone or it just isn't worth the risk in this spot?
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I really don't think it's worth it here. I'd say we probably get c/r'ed about 25% of the time, get called and lose about 20% of the time, fold him 25% of the time, and he calls and we win 30% of the time.
His range: any 2 broadways with a [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 66 or 88 maybe JJ, JT-JA with no heart
Everybody who's saying he's playoing it like a pp, his most likely pp is 66-JJ. He doesn't have 99, 77 raises flop or turn, TT has us beat, JJ has us beat, as does 66. Other than that, he's not calling turn without a heart or a J IMO. I actually think the estimates I gave above are off by quite a bit...I think it is much less favourable to bet than I mentioned above.
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