To be clear...
There certainly is an adjustment term for the way your preflop raise affects your postflop EV. But I do not accept your 3% term at all, for several reasons:
1. There is no way that I trust you to simulate how often you'd fold. That makes suppositions about how the hand will play, and you can't simulate those accurately at all.
2. You cannot simulate how the larger pot size will cause your opponents to change the way they will play.
So I'm not saying that SOMETHING doesn't belong where your 3% term went, but I think it's as likely to be 3% as it is to be 0%.
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