Re: Stats post...
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Can a lot of these downswings be because of the rake increase a while back?
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No.
Krishan
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i don't understand how you can discount this so easily. even a .25bb/100 drop in win rates can have a dramatic effect on probability of a downswing, can't it? I'm not sure if the rake increase has been quantified but IIRC estimates were in this neighborhood
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Think about it logically. People who are on downswings are winning players. The deviation from their predicted win rate is greater than the increase in rake. Sure the rake didn't help but it's not the main culprit.
Krishan
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