Question here is for the river
UTG is 80/9 after 100 hands. He is generally passive but more noticeably more aggressive on the river.
Converter is acting up so sry i'll go by hand.
Party Poker (10 handed)
converter
Preflop: Hero is MP3 with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
UTG limps, folds to me, I raise to isolate. BB and SB fold. UTG calls.
Flop: 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, Hero bets, UTG calls.
Standard continuation bet - I probably have the best hand unless he's got a PP.
Turn: 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, Hero bets, UTG calls
I'm thinking 1) maybe MHIG 2) flush draw (10-high) might be good if behind now 3) gutshot straight draw also
So if I'm good, great, if not, plenty of outs.
River: 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, Hero ...
Pot is $22 now after $1 was raked.
Well I hit the flush, but it's only 4th nut..A, K, Q still beat me. Given his aggression on the river, he will 100% checkraise any hand that beats me, might checkraise a worse hand like 2pr or 9-high flush, but will fold a poor hand.
I'd like to value bet because on the turn I felt like a flush might win it for me. However a checkraise would very unpleasant and I have to call down in a small pot.
What's your line, and why?