Re: Math guys: Chances of OTM 8 times in a row?
OK I've always been a little confused about this, hopefully someone can straighten it out - you say that every 60 sets you should have an 8 OOTM streak, which is the same figure I came up with, but I'm defining the sets as every consecutive 8 games, so that any game that's not within the first or last 8 is effectively counted 8 times, while with your method each game is in only one set. i.e. if these were your stats:
ITM, OOTM, ITM, OOTM, OOTM, OOTM, ITM, OOTM, OOTM, ITM
you would have 3 sets of 8 games in that selection, rather than 1.25. It strikes me that my method makes more sense, because when you look at it the other way a run of 10 like:
ITM, OOTM, OOTM, OOTM, OOTM, OOTM, OOTM, OOTM, OOTM, ITM
would not be considered a run of 8 OOTM - you had 7 OTM in your first 8 and 1 in the next two. Am I wrong? Also, my stats seem to agree much more with my figure than yours.
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