Thread: BR disagreement/fallacy
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Old 10-13-2005, 07:23 PM
sthief09 sthief09 is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: duffman is thrusting in the direction of the problem (mets are 9-13, currently on a 1 game winning streak)
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Default Re: BR disagreement/fallacy


pretend it's 2% (for simplicity) likely that you will ever lose 250 BB.

ok, you go and lose 250 BB. the chances you lose another 250 BB is still 2%. nothing has changed. it's still 2% that you'll win.

let's say you have AA against JTs. you're a big favorite. now the flop comes 982 with 2 of his suit. you aren't a big favorite anymore
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