Re: Jesus, Negreanu is running REALLY badly this year
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Although I think Barry's call is pretty bad. There is 30ish thousand in the middle before Daniel makes it 110 all-in. So 110 to call to win 140
110:140
Needs about 47% equity to call here, and after running the numbers, putting Daniel on a wide range of hands.. (77+/22-33+/Made flush)
Barry only has about a 40% equity against this hand range.
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Let's say that the hand range you selected is about right. 110:140 tells me that Barry needs 44% to call, not 47 (110/250=.44). Also if there is in fact 40 grand plus already in the pot, then Barry only needs 110/261= .423 to make it an EV neutral call.
So he has about 40% vs needing at least 42.3% against DN's likely range of hands. Bad call? Only marginally, and then only if DN never bluffs with nothing. If he's bluffing here 5% of the time (or more) though ....
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