Re: The Protected Pot Effect: A Study from 2/4
You're right that MP may be chasing hopelessly. If so, it's pretty clear he didn't catch on the river.
I guess if EP is thinking about it this way, he may figure the pot isn't very protected at all but only appears to be.
Plus, if EP has a weak king, I don't think he has to worry about MP's hand. He just has to hope his raise drives you out.
But EP's thinking doesn't have to be this complex -- especially at 2/4. I think he could be making a desperation raise with pocket 3's or a busted flush draw.
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