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Old 12-03-2004, 02:26 PM
Mike Haven Mike Haven is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Northern Ireland
Posts: 2,288
Default Re: Very simple math question, but I need help

[ QUOTE ]
My hand:AA
Flop A23
47 unseen cards, 7 give us a FH or better. 7/47=14.893%
Turn A237, 46 unseen cards, 10 give us a FH or better 10/46=21.739%.
14.893%+21.739%=36.632%
That's a 3.632% difference from HEPFAP. Is my math right, and the book worded wrong, or is my math wrong? Thanks


[/ QUOTE ]

the way you have done it, you have forgotten that you have "used up", so to speak, 14.893% of the 100% of time - you are only interested what happens on the turn draw for the remainder of time

therefore you should be calculating 21.739% of (100 - 14.893)% for the second part, or 21.739% of 85.107%, which is 18.501%

so your answer should be 14.893% + 18.501% = 33.394%
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