Re: Very simple math question, but I need help
Easiest way to do this is to compute the chance you won't make the fh and subtract that from 1.
There is a 40/47 chance you miss on the turn followed by a 36/46 chance you miss on the river. So there is almost exactly a 2/3 chance you fail (~.666) so a 1/3 chance you succeed.
Your specific error is that you double count the times both the turn and river will give you a fh or better (say the final board is A2332 or A232A).
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