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Old 12-08-2005, 11:12 AM
suckbot suckbot is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 9
Default Re: When not to make a continuation bet

[ QUOTE ]
\If I'm doing the math right, you'd be putting in 1410 to win 2030. Even if you assume that he's got you beat right now, that's probably good enough pot odds to call with your 2nd nut flush draw with two cards to come. ... I'd call.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm not sure if I agree with that logic. it's early in the tournament. Even if he is just trying to steal the pot without a real hand, you are going to have to hit something. Let's say he missed completely. He's bound to have your J beaten as a high card. Chances are he has at least the 9. In which case, you need to hit your J or hit that flush draw (assuming he doesn't have that beaten). So you've got at best 11 outs. Ok so maybe the odds work out for a call. But not by a real margin.

So let's say he has the K (not even the AA), now you're calling your stack on a flush draw at $50 blinds with $1500 left if you fold? Seems a little rash.

Take your medicine for trying a steal that didn't work out and move on.
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