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Old 10-31-2005, 03:11 PM
Vincent Lepore Vincent Lepore is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 570
Default Re: odds of opponent holding pocket Aces given you holdpocket Kings

The odds of being dealt A,A are 220 to 1. So the ~ odds of one of 5 opponents having A,A is 44 to 1. (220/5). In reality the odds off an opponent having Aces when you have kings might be a lot less than that and as usual it depends on the situation. Suppose for example you are playing in a game with David Sklansky. Suppose you, Mr tight butt, are utg and raise with your K,K and Mr Math type, tighter butt, Sklansky is next to act. The odds of Sklansky having A,A are 99 ro 1. The reason there is a 1 in a hundred chance that he has something else is because there might be a twentythree year old "working" girl sitting next to him that he is trying to impress. So in tha situation he might reraise with A,K. The point is that if you use "static' probability the odds are ~ 44 to 1. But if you consider all factors (conditional) when making this determination the odds might be a lot less.

Vince
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