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Old 12-05-2005, 03:07 PM
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Default Re: Why Two Dimes Data Is Wrong (Continued...)

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No. I think scooping once is better than winning half the pot twice, assuming all pots under consideration have equal amounts contributed by your opponents.

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Buzz, to make this a fair argument, you have to run this situation four times, and allow the scoop to get there once and the low draw to get there twice. That way, the odds are accounted for.

Let me give you an example to make things clearer. Suppose we have the identical situation for the low draw (50% success), but let's let the scoop draw have a single out to get there. Now, your statement still holds: scooping once will net you more profit than winning half twice. However, you'd be insane to argue that this means drawing to the scoop is somehow a better play than drawing to the low, right? This is essentially what you're doing--the difference is that you are allowing yourself to be confused into thinking that because the odds differ by a factor of 2, running one hand once is equivalent to running the other twice, or something. That's just wrong.
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