[locutus2002]

Let's suppose your numbers are correct, which they're not.

Villain has to fold 37% of the hands for hero to break even, or 453 hands out of 1225 possible hands. Villain would have to fold about 98s to make it break even for hero, not reasonable for villain to fold this much.

As villain's calling range incresaes, so does hero chances of winning rise to about 40%.