[Flawed]

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1. With a hand like ATs, it's significantly more likely that your opponents should fold than you should. So even if your opponents play loosely postflop, they might be folding more than you simply because their hands are that much weaker than yours.


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The difference is the hands your folding have a chance to win while their hands do not if they did have the slightest chance they would call. To a bad player getting 8-1 and 15-1 is nothing they'll see a big pot and call with almost anything. To say bad players will play just like the solid players post flop is wrong and must be factored in.

Sure my sims wont be 100% accurate, but they will be more accurate than just assumptions that leave out many variables.