Re: WPT Foxwoods Main Event Hand
A narrow view of villain's likely range:
AA, KK, AK, QQ. And Harington's 10% chance of a bluff.
Pot equity:
AA - 3 of 23 combos: 7%
KK - 3 of 23 combos: 30%
AK - 9 of 23 combos: 50%
QQ - 6 of 23 combos: 43%
Bluff - 2 of 23 combos: 60%
Gives you 40% equity in the pot (according to my calculations). If he's stupid enough to bluff with a worse Ace (or unlucky enough to hold a worse K) your equity goes up.
If you call t7,300 the pot will hold t21,175. Of which 40% is t8,640, earning you t1,340 or 15% stack increase.
Looks like a call to me.
Best,
McMelchior (Johan)
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