View Single Post
Old 08-31-2005, 11:29 PM
SumZero SumZero is offline
Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 73
Default Re: amarillo slim\'s favorite bet

I won't agree completely that this is the correct number. The calculation is fine, but the assumption of equally distributed birthdays is invalid (amusingly, this very topic was recently discussed in a recent issue of Amstat they print for students such as myself). Without thinking at all about the math, my first guess would be the chances are higher.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes, the worst case for the person betting there will be a match is uniformly distributed birthdays. If the birthdays are not uniformly distributed then the odds of a match become better.
Reply With Quote