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Old 05-17-2005, 11:50 AM
deception5 deception5 is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 59
Default Re: This was a Clarkmeister, was it?

Since you asked [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

I believe to calculate the odds an opponent has a club (since the two cards are not mutually exclusive) you need to determine the odds that your opponent does not have a club and subtract that from 100%.

1-36/45*35/44=.3636 or around 36.4%. Even if the opponent always calls with any club the river bluff will be successful nearly 2/3 of the time. Most opponents would call with more hands but still it doesn't have to be successful that often (and is easily folded to a raise).
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