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Old 08-20-2005, 03:18 PM
Marnixvdb Marnixvdb is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Eindhoven
Posts: 97
Default Re: my shy attempt at analyizing mahatma overbets.

[ QUOTE ]
the main thing his style has got going is that he has a massive bankroll and isnt afraid of variance, and i dont think you can say the same for alot of players in that game.

350 preflop hu.

potted on flop = $2,100 on turn.

say 1500 bet on turn ave. = $5,100 river.

If he pushs 14,000 on river. He needs Villian to fold 75% of the time to win money...

This doesnt account for the times he has the nuts.

its all just math. it can be tweaked anyway he wants it, based on opponent, etc. just have to plug in numbers:

percentage of time villian will call/fold.

percentage of time he has the nuts.

then he picks the right spots w/hand reading.

if people play passive against him, they cant win.

[/ QUOTE ]

If you'd assume he always lost when called on the river, while this line was conceived from pf onwards, he needs to win more often than 75% to make a profit since half of the money in the pot was his own to begin with.

Marnix
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