Re: Mathematical Hand Analysis (the EV of pushing 99 from MP)
I think your call range is too large. AA-TT, AK, AQ seems more reasonable. You're pushing more than 10x the BB.. getting called by 77 seems a little far-fetched.
You're also at a spot in the tournament where $EV starts to deviate significantly from chip EV, so that assumption seems poor. I'd reccomend just using the ICM (independant chip model) here.
BTW, I don't think this is a questionable play, I think it is a bad play. Even if it turns out to be slightly +EV it is a bad play, as other plays will be more +EV.
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