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Old 09-16-2004, 10:52 PM
w_raedy99 w_raedy99 is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 33
Default Is this play too aggressive?

Please tell me what you think of this play.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t15 (8 handed)

saw flop|<font color="C00000">saw showdown</font>

Button (t565)
<font color="C00000">SB (t35)</font>
BB (t825)
UTG (t2630)
<font color="C00000">Hero (t775)</font>
<font color="C00000">MP1 (t740)</font>
MP2 (t785)
CO (t1645)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
UTG calls t15, Hero calls t15, MP1 calls t15, MP2 calls t15, CO calls t15, Button calls t15, <font color="CC3333">SB raises to t35 (All-In)</font>, BB calls t20, UTG calls t20, Hero calls t20, MP1 calls t20, MP2 calls t20, CO calls t20, Button calls t20.

Flop: (t280) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(8 players, 1 all-in)</font>
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero checks, <font color="CC3333">MP1 bets t300</font>, MP2 folds, CO folds, Button folds, BB folds, UTG folds, <font color="CC3333">Hero raises to t740 (All-In)</font>, MP1 calls t405 (All-In).

Turn: (t1725) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(3 players, 3 all-in)</font>

River: (t1725) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(3 players, 3 all-in)</font>

Final Pot: t1725
<font color="green">Main Pot: t280 (t280), between SB, Hero and MP1.</font> &gt; <font color="white">Pot won by MP1 (t280).</font>
<font color="green">Pot 2: t1410 (t1410), between Hero and MP1.</font> &gt; <font color="white">Pot won by MP1 (t1410).</font>
<font color="green">Pot 3: t35 (t35), returned to Hero.</font>

Results in white below: <font color="white">
SB has Qc 4c (one pair, tens).
Hero has Kh Ah (one pair, tens).
MP1 has Ac Tc (three of a kind, tens).
Outcome: MP1 wins t1690. Hero wins t35. </font>

It was early on and blinds were low, and this is definitely a more aggressive play than I think I normally make but I decided to go for it for several reasons:

(1) I was playing a $10+1 and therefore was willing to play a little looser than normal
(2) I figured there was a good chance he was betting a flush draw.

Given these factors I decided to go for it. At first I thought it might actually be a bad call, but then when I thought about it more and counted my outs, 9 hearts, 4 kings, and 4 aces without knowing what he has and I think it might have been more reasonable. Then consulting twodimes i saw the statistics were:

http://twodimes.net/h/?z=516495
pokenum -h ah kh - ac tc -- th 6h 3d
Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing 3d Th 6h
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Ah Kh 461 46.57 529 53.43 0 0.00 0.466
Ac Tc 529 53.43 461 46.57 0 0.00 0.534

And even though those odds are actually higher than I thought they might be knowing he had TPTK I am not sure if it was too agressive or not. Also, do you consider this a good call with TPTK? I most likely would've have bet the exact same way with an overpair.

Any thoughts?

Will
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