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Old 11-22-2005, 11:12 PM
woodguy woodguy is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Edmonton, Alberta
Posts: 20
Default Re: I\'m a calling station...ooohhh nice flop, what now?

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How far are you from the bubble here?

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nh.

What are you doing reading a forum that doesn't include split pots? [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]


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Ok, I call but its close. I figure you have 6 clean outs for the straight, and 2 outs for the set for 4.6 to 1, and might have 2 more outs for a straight. You're getting 3:1 now and I don't see a big pair laying down with this much in. So high variance and lose frequently but can win some big pots.

You're 25% equity (3:1) for all your money now vs. AKs/QQ, and 38% vs. 2 big pairs for 1.6 to 1, so I think its a reasonable gamble but not hugely EV+. And you're getting 2.3 to 1 for your stack and can fold if you're really worried on the turn.

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I really don't like calling here if I can clean up some of my outs with a push and get rid of MP1.

I was sure my read on UTG+1 was right.

If I push now, even with 8 clean outs I'm 2.2-1 to make it by the river, and if UTG comes along I'm getting the right price, plus some added bonus FE (maybe)

I agree that its close.

MP1's flat call really threw me here. What do you put him on?

Regards,
Woodguy
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