Re: unfluctuation
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I estimate my current earn rate at shorthanded to be 3BB per hour ....
I made a steady living playing hold'em for 13 years ...
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Assuming both of these things are true, and there is no reason to believe they are not, how many others have beat the game for what is likely 6BB/100 over a long period of time?
If this is an example of someone who sucks at limit hold 'em, I aspire to suck this badly.
As is true in most professions, it takes a long time to know what you don't know, even when, at the time, you were sure you knew everything...
I'm beginning to wonder if, in taking what is a profitable, but likely marginal situation (e.g., overcards, heads-up, OOP) that goes wrong for whatever reason, results in a bad decision later on (i.e. tilt in whatever form), the net EV is negative because you lose far more than the expectation of the orginal hand.
Worse still, this would be extremely difficult to quantify, or see as a leak. The fact that one hand can effect play on another, subsequent, and assumed unrelated hand, is not being taken into account.
Yet I think you would be hard pressed to find anyone who never tilts, and thus the rational for the play is valid, even if obfuscated by an assumption that everyone takes for granted.
Perhaps OP is trying to point out that not tilting is far more valuable than whatever expectation you give up by playing some hands sub-optimally.
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