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Old 04-20-2005, 06:24 PM
pzhon pzhon is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 66
Default Re: Can some one do the math on this in this situation

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Assuming the other 4 limpers call the raiser, you are risking 1 small bet to win an 10.5 bet pot. For this to be +EV your pot equity needs to be above about 9.5%. Running Poker Stove against 5 random hands I got that your pot equity would be 19%. Even lowering this by a bit, to say 15% your call is still very +EV.

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That is really poor analysis.

[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] The fact that there are other betting rounds is a huge disadvantage, and it isn't factored in at all. Many of your hot and cold wins will come from chasing weak draws, such as a draw to an overcard or to two pair/trips, or to a back-door flush. You may have to fold before then, or you may have to pay more to chase.

[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] You can't assume you are up against 5 random hands. K4s will do much worse against hands that even loose limpers will play, and someone raised.

[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Your position is bad.

[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Your call does not close the action, and it is possible someone will reraise.

K4s is an easily dominated hand. You will infrequently hit a flop you really like, and will often be charged for weak draws that miss. This call is at best marginal.
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