[fsuplayer]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
diablo-

do you think that the chances MP calls the push are better than the chance that either MP bets or martin pulls a move if king checks the river?

[/ QUOTE ]

Well, I think the chance that Martin puts any money in is slim, no matter what anyone else does. If it gets checked to him, I think he'll check and pray his turned top pair is miraculously good.

So, it comes down to MP. I don't think there's a high chance he calls a push. I basically think he's rarely going to bet more than he's going to call, but he'll check a lot too. So you might as well bet what you think he might call. That's why I like rbk's push better than a check here and prefer an obvious milky bet even more.

[/ QUOTE ]


fair enough, although i think the chances of martin making a play go down considerably once we find out that he has decent showdown potential.

the river here is one of the few places i might bet half my stack, bc the pot is so huge MP will call. yeah, i like that milk bet alot.