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Some insightful comments in a thread from another forum from someone (like many) who has had a rough go this year.

Linky

Scroll down to Michelangelo's long response for some great comments if you don't care to read the entire thread.

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It's an interesting post with a fine theory but because online and Vegas books use the same numbers, it doesn't explain why Vegas oddsmaskers haven't shifted their lines to stop their hemmoraging as they still deal predominantly to "squares". What needs to be determined isn't a political count of how many people favor what on wagerline but a weighted count of how much money is on either side, the perceived sharp and square sides. This will determine once and for all whether and how online and Vegas books are staying afloat. I'm not sure I buy this unless Vegas and offshore actually use different numbers.