Re: boat vs. tag on river
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Good to hear it isn't even close. This hand left me wondering how much value was in my 3-bet, considering
1) I will get capped 100% of the time when beat and
2) Call 100% of the time when capped
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1) isnt correct. Many people overplay trip aces.
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Read it again both 1 and 2 are correct.
To the OP, while it will be capped every time you're behind and you will always call in this situation there are many other hands that cap as well. I can't see somebody with AQ or AJ not capping here. Already that means that when it's capped you are still more likely ahead. Add to that that some people will cap A2 and your pt numbers don't mean anything on this guy and you are very likely ahead here. To not want to 3 bet you would have to be very likely behind given a cap and/or have him not call with hands that beat you. He's probably got an ace and most of those are good for you. 3 bet away.
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