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Old 06-10-2004, 02:35 AM
Senor Choppy Senor Choppy is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2003
Posts: 320
Default Re: Am I suffering from TA?

I'm guessing the justification is that he's chopping if a non-club A or 9 falls. He might be drawing to 3 cards if someone has AQ, and all the aces might be accounted for at this point anyway. There is probably a flush draw out there, so 2 of his outs might be dead, and even if he makes his hand on the turn and it's good, there are a million ways he can get rivered.

It's pretty easy to talk yourself into a fold if you really think hard enough. Having said all that, the pot is too big to be that paranoid, you are getting 19-1 on your flop call for a hand that has between 2 and 8 outs depending on the above factors, but just assuming 4 is pretty safe, which makes this an easy call.

On the turn, if a bet comes from somewhere else and you aren't closing the action or it's 2 bets to you, then you can start worrying about how clean your outs are, but right now this paranoia is unwarranted.
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