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Old 11-23-2005, 04:46 PM
bizaff bizaff is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 97
Default Re: Another bottom set post

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78 is the only holding I'm afraid of here.

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That was my number one fear.

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That makes sense that should be your number one fear - that's one of the the most likely hands that beat you here. The key idea is that it is NOT his most likely hand.

He checked out of the big blind - he could have, quite literally, any two. The ONLY hands that beat you are 77 (1), 88 (3), 87 (6), 73 (6), and 72 (6). The other hands he could have that he'd think are good include 99 (6), TT (6), JJ (6), QQ (6), KK (6), AA (6), x8 (~100), x7 (~60), 22 (3), and maybe any other pair (18). These severely outnumber the ones that have you beat. Even if you exclude some of the big pairs and the naked 8s, his losing range greatly exceeds his winning range.

You may have called and lost this hand, but at the 25's, a lot of people will think they're better more than they should. Your turn bet was weak, possibly encouraging his big bet on the end. Unless you have a strong read that this guy will fold the weaker holdings, you may want to take advantage of this.
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