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Old 07-31-2005, 11:13 PM
microbet microbet is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Southern California
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Default Re: 77 in the BB? Button raises all in, Hero?

The question of what range you are 50/50 against isn't really relevant, but it made me curious enough to run the numbers.

ICM analysis
Call and win = .242
Call and lose = .0452
Fold = .128

.128 = .242x + .045(1-x)
.083 = .197x
x = .42

So, you only have to win 42% of the time to break even.

You are 50/50 against:

A3s+,A8o+,K9o+,K7s+,QTo+,Q8s+,J9s+,JTo+,T9s,66+ 23.1% of hands

You are 42% against:

A9s+,AJo+,KQo+,KTs+,QTs+,88+ top 9.8%


Your opponent has been folded to on the button with less than 4 big blinds.

With the blinds going up and 6 short stacked players, I think this is a call.

His range was proven wide enough to make at least make this a close call, but his range could have been much wider. No way to tell if he would have pushed worse hands or not.
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