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Old 12-13-2005, 12:37 PM
Postiga Postiga is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2003
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Default Re: Bubble...These situations are way too tempting

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Have you not noticed the SB is actually shaving off 150 of his stack in this hand, so he's down to virtually a third of your stack anyway?



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I took it to mean that he had 700 after posting. If not, then I'd feel a lot better about folding. I probably would fold in fact.

But if he has 700 after already posting the blind, it still feels like a raise to me. Someone said I was making it sound as if the short stack was a favourite to finish 3rd. Well to me you're arguments make it sound as if we're guaranteed to finish 3rd if we fold.

Is it possible that ICM can be wrong? I would trust my intuition over a computer program that can't possibly be perfect.

Lastly, I'm well aware that I'm making the short stack a huge amount of money by going all-in here, that doesn't mean that I'm not making money for myself at the same time.

Edit: Of course, you're right tigerite, the stacks add up to 10,000. I completely stand by my analysis though.
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