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Old 06-01-2004, 06:21 PM
Louie Landale Louie Landale is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 1,277
Default Re: Median Best Hand II: complication

Hands are lower in the list because they do poorly against the aggregate of other hands higher in the list. AK is ranked high because it does very well against other hands ranked not so high. 22 is down on the list because it does terrible against many hands higher (bigger pairs) even if it beats other hands heads-up.

No. You should work on [1] What is the true ranking of hands figuring to be heads-up and all-in? After you have your hand rankings then [2] do your calculations based on the list and NOT on the hand-to-hand matchups.

Note that for heads-up all-in situations, small pairs do better than in the heads-up non-all-in situation, since they will have to abandon much of their equity by folding after the flop.

Yes, your calculations should presume the opponents presume you are raising optimally and pretty much know your minimal requirements. But it is incorrect to presume they are going to fold all hands ranked less than your minimum and call with all hands better. They should actually fold MORE hands: if they know you raise with A9s or better they should fold AT; otherwise THEY are the underdog most of the time. The %age they should call should be about at the 60%ile of your raising requirements: if you raise with hand 100 or better you should expect they will call a big all-in bet ONLY with hands 60 or better.

- Louie

PS. I didn't follow all that "S-K" numbers and comparisons to what you are doing here. Hopefully when you guys will summarize it for those of us less neuron-nimble folks.
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