Re: Unavoidable bubble burst?
I've *not* done any ICM calculations or anything else, but...
I definitely fold the first one without even thinking about it. If I had got into the second situation, I fold that too.
What are you trying to gain from the first push? So waht if Q6 is above average, if called you are behind. Surely you don't want to be called here? He's very short so his range will be wide, but still ahead of you. But assuming you don't want to get a call, then is it really worth it for 225 chips? It makes very little difference to your situation to take his blind, but if you double him up it makes a huge difference, putting you in last place. You are well ahead of him at this point, so I would say you shouldn't be going up against him without a very strong hand, since the cost of losing in this situation far outweighs the benefit of stealing his blind or even taking him out.
The second one I would say is closer, but with the blinds still so low I would fold this. I imagine it's probably fairly close by ICM so that's just personal preference.
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