Re: the old mike l. rears his ugly head?
What Andy says is more applicable in spots where the guy is betting into a preflop raiser. Here, the bet by the dude on the ace turn card is of no great moment. He 3 bet the flop. He is going to bet a high percentage of the time on the turn no matter what it is unless he is against a gaggle of opponents (but here he only has 2).
I don't put much stock in the guy's turn bet.
Mike simply has to read his thoughts (more than he has to read his hand) and decide whether he will fold to a turn raise given that it makes a flush.
Andy, I can't seem to reply to your PM for whatever reason.
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