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Old 12-17-2005, 11:14 PM
StellarWind StellarWind is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 704
Default Re: Blind Battles: Hand #8182910291129.3

Why not semibluff the turn? Having checked I guess the call is OK. The one-card OESD on a paired board isn't enough effective outs IMO, but you get a little extra EV from checkfolding the river and winning either unimproved or with a spiked pair.

Checkfold the river. The key point is that it is pretty clear to value bet any king, jack, or straight after you check the turn and river. With so many hands value betting the occasional bluff will be drowned out. There won't be one bluff for every six value bets even if he is bluffing most of his worse hands. Of course most of his worse hands are tens or underpairs and he's not apt to bluff those anyway.
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