Re: 100% standard AJ raptor hand from sb.. in the 55s at least..
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So, why are you folding this hand?
It just doesn't seem optimal. You're going to be ahead here on the river at least 50% of the time, and while there are a bunch of draws out there which makes your showdown hand quite a bit worse than your hand right now, but it's going to be enough to check-call on the end with profit.
This is a +chip EV move, and in L1, that means money. Why call and check-call down?
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why call and NOT check-call down you mean? well, lets do this, lets CALL the turn bet. then the river puts the 10 out there. you check again, mp cehcks, lp bets 150. you call, mp raises, lp calls, you fold. costs? more than 200 extra chips. if i did anything here that would cost me 200 chips, it would be taking the aggro stance of check raising the flop and 2/3 potting the turn. im not a huge fan of check calling it down, but it does have its uses. this i dont think is one of them. holla
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